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2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia

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Not to be confused with 2020 United States Senate election in Georgia.

2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia
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Candidate Kelly Loeffler Doug Collins
Party Republican Republican
  File:MattLiebermanDemocrat (cropped).jpg
Candidate Matt Lieberman Raphael Warnock
Party Democratic Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Kelly Loeffler
Republican



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The 2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia will be held on November 3, 2020, following Senator Johnny Isakson's resignation effective December 31, 2019. Governor Brian Kemp appointed Kelly Loeffler to serve as Isakson's replacement, effective January 6, 2020, until the special election.[1]

On November 3, 2020, per Georgia law, a special general election will take place on the same day as the regularly scheduled U.S. Senate election for the seat held by David Perdue. A primary election will not occur; instead, all candidates, regardless of party, will be placed on the same ballot. Party labels will be printed on the ballot and if no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, the top two finishers will advance to a runoff election, to be held on January 5, 2021.[2]

Background

On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31, 2019, due to his deteriorating health.[1] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, 2019, Georgia Governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés to be considered for appointment.[3] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Rep. Doug Collins.[4] Kemp appointed Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020.[5]

Republican candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate[11][12]

Declined

Endorsements

Kelly Loeffler
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Individuals
Doug Collins
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations

Democratic candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Lieberman

Federal officials

State Executives

State Officials

Local Officials

Party Officials

Individuals

Raphael Warnock

U.S. Representatives and Senators

State officials

County Officials

Local officials

Organizations

Individuals

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Green Party

  • John "Green" Fortuin[12]

Independents

Declared

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Matt
Lieberman (D) 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Ed
Tarver (D) 		Raphael
Warnock (D) 		Other Undecided
SurveyUSA August 6–8, 2020 623 (LV) ± 5.3% 17% 13% 26% 3% 17% 2%[b] 21%
HIT Strategies (D)[A] July 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 18% 14% 22% 6% 14% 1%[c] 23%
Monmouth University July 23–27, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 20% 14% 26% 5% 9% 8%[d] 18%
Spry Strategies (R)[B] July 11–16, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 20% 23% 19% 9% – – 20%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] July 6–8, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 26% 15% 17% 5% 10% 2%[e] 26%
Gravis Marketing (R)[D] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 26% 11% 24% 9% 18% – 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[E] June 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 23% 11% 21% 3% 20% – 22%
MRG (D)[F] June 18–23, 2020 1,259 (LV) – 27% 13% 21% – 23% 5%[f] 12%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 34% 14% 12% 6% 18% 4%[g] 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 19% 17% 18% – 9% 11%[h] 26%
Cygnal(R)[1][G] April 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 29% 12% 11% 4% 11% 2%[i] 31%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.01% 36% 11% 13% 3% 16% 4%[j] 17%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 24, 2020 1,025 (LV)[k] – 34% 18% 14% 5% 13% – 15%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 21, 2020 1,025 (LV)[l] – 32% 19% 15% 5% 12% – 18%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 12, 2020 1,025 (LV)[m] – 30% 18% 19% 5% 10% – 18%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 7, 2020 1,025 (LV)[n] – 29% 16% 20% 5% 12% – 18%
University of Georgia February 24 – March 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 21% 11% 19% 4% 6% 8%[o] 31%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] February 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 28% 5% 20% 3% 13% – 31%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[H] February 17–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 18% 20% –[p] – 7%[q] 21%
January 30, 2020 Warnock announces his candidacy
January 29, 2020 Collins announces his candidacy
January 10, 2020 Tarver announces his candidacy
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[C] December 16–18, 2019 600 (LV) – 32% 42% 11% – — — 16%

Head to head matchups

Loeffler vs. Collins
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler 		Doug
Collins 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing/OANN (R) July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 28% 34% 37%
Public Policy Polling (D) December 12–13, 2019 711 (LV)[r] — 16% 56% 27%
Loeffler vs. Lieberman
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Matt
Lieberman (D) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing/OANN (R) July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 39% – 15%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 44% 18%[s] 6%
Loeffler vs. Tarver
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Ed
Tarver (D) 		Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 43% 20%[t] 6%
Loeffler vs. Warnock
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Raphael
Warnock (D) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing/OANN (R) July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% – 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] June 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 43% – 17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 45% 18%[u] 6%
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 41% – 19%
The Progress Campaign (D)[2] Mar 12-21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 38% – 24%
Collins vs. Lieberman
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Matt
Lieberman (D) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing/OANN (R) July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 37% – 16%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 44% 7%[v] 5%
Collins vs. Tarver
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Ed
Tarver (D) 		Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 42% 8%[w] 5%
Collins vs. Warnock
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Raphael
Warnock (D) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing/OANN (R) July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% – 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] June 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 43% 41% – 17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 45% 6%[x] 5%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2.0% 43% 41% – 16%[y]
Battleground Connect (R)[C] March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 36% – 15%
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 39% – 20%
Hypothetical polling
Loeffler vs. Broun
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler 		Paul
Broun 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) December 12–13, 2019 711 (LV)[z] — 27% 14% 59%
Collins vs. Abrams
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[aa] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D)[3] March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 47% 10%
Loeffler vs. Generic Opponent
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler 		Someone else Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) December 12–13, 2019 711 (LV)[ab] — 26% 30% 44%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[98] Lean R August 17, 2020
Inside Elections[99] Lean R July 10, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[100] Likely R August 5, 2020
Daily Kos[101] Lean R August 17, 2020
Politico[102] Lean R July 6, 2020
RCP[103] Lean R August 6, 2020
Niskanen[104] Tossup July 26, 2020
270towin[105] Lean R August 16, 2020

Results

2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Al Bartell
Independent Allen Buckley
Republican Doug Collins
Green John Fortuin
Republican Derrick Grayson
Independent Michael Todd Greene
Republican Annette Davis Jackson
Democratic Deborah Jackson
Democratic Jamesia James
Republican Wayne Johnson
Democratic Tamara Johnson-Shealey
Democratic Matt Lieberman
Republican Kelly Loeffler (incumbent)
Democratic Joy Felicia Slade
Libertarian Brian Slowinski
Independent Valencia Stovall
Democratic Ed Tarver
Republican Kandiss Taylor
Democratic Raphael Warnock
Democratic Richard Dien Winfield
Independent Rod Mack (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  2. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Internal poll for Collins
  4. ^ Poll is sponsored by OANN, a far-right political talkshow.
  5. ^ This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling.
  6. ^ Steve Phillips, who sponsored this poll, is a senior fellow at the Democratic-leaning Center for American Progress
  7. ^ Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  8. ^ Internal poll for Loeffler
  9. ^ This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling
  10. ^ This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  3. ^ "Third party candidate" with 1%
  4. ^ "Other candidate" with 5%; Slowinski (L) with 3%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  8. ^ All other candidates with 5% or less
  9. ^ "Another candidate who qualified to run but isn't listed" with 2%
  10. ^ Bartell (I) with 2%; Slowinski (L) with 1%; "someone else" with 1%
  11. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  12. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  13. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  14. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  15. ^ Johnson (R) with 4%; Winfield (D) with 3%; Bartell (I) with 2%; "refused" with 0%
  16. ^ Democratic candidates have 31% of the vote combined
  17. ^ Bartell with 5%; Johnson (R) with 2%
  18. ^ Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election
  19. ^ "Someone else" with 18%
  20. ^ "Someone else" with 20%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 18%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 8%
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  25. ^ Listed as "other/undecided"
  26. ^ Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election
  27. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  28. ^ Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election

References

  1. ^ a b Rogers, Alex; Bradner, Eric; Mattingly, Phil (August 28, 2019). "Georgia Republican Sen. Johnny Isakson to resign at end of year". CNN.com. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  2. ^ Singer, Jeff (August 28, 2019). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/28". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  3. ^ Bluestein, Greg (September 18, 2019). "Online 'help wanted' sign sets off Senate scramble in Georgia". Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
  4. ^ Editor-at-large, Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN. "Why Georgia's Republican governor isn't doing what Donald Trump wants him to do". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2020. {{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  5. ^ Foran, Clare (January 6, 2020). "Republican Kelly Loeffler sworn in as Georgia's newest senator". CNN. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
  6. ^ James, Arkin (January 29, 2020). "Collins launches Georgia Senate bid, setting up GOP clash". POLTICO.
  7. ^ a b c d e f Amy, Jeff; Nadler, Ben (March 6, 2020). "Candidate fields for 2020 races in Georgia take final shape". News 4 Jax.
  8. ^ Stratford, Michael (October 24, 2019). "Top DeVos aide quits for Senate bid, endorses canceling student loan debt". Politico.
  9. ^ "Kelly Loeffler". kellyforsenate.com.
  10. ^ "YARBROUGH: An underdog eager to race the political thoroughbreds". Gwinnett Daily Post. March 21, 2020.
  11. ^ Mitchell, Tia (February 5, 2020). "Who's challenging Kelly Loeffler for Johnny Isakson's U.S. Senate seat". AJC. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  12. ^ a b c d e f "All seats up for grab". May 12, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  13. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (August 28, 2019). "Former Pence Aide Ayers Removes Self From Georgia Senate Consideration". Politico. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  14. ^ Burnett, John (September 7, 2019). "Georgia Governor Could Make History With Upcoming Appointment Read Newsmax: Georgia Governor Could Make History With Upcoming Appointment". News Max. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  15. ^ a b Galloway, Jim; Bluestein, Greg; Hallerman, Tamar (September 18, 2019). "The Jolt: The reality TV contest for U.S. Senate in Georgia". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved September 18, 2019.
  16. ^ "How Isakson's retirement makes Georgia even more of a 2020 battleground". PBS NewsHour. August 28, 2019. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  17. ^ a b Cochrane, Emily (August 28, 2019). "Isakson to Resign From Senate, Citing Health Reasons". The New York Times. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  18. ^ "Want To Be The Next Georgia Senator? Apply Now!". NPR.org. Retrieved October 1, 2019.
  19. ^ "U.S. Senate Submissions". Governor Brian P. Kemp Office of the Governor. Retrieved October 1, 2019.
  20. ^ Handel, Karen [@karenhandel] (March 25, 2019). "It's official: Karen just announced her campaign for 2020. Join the team and help us take back Georgia 6th district now! https://youtu.be/S2UQwF-n3E4 #ga06 #gapol" (Tweet). Retrieved March 25, 2019 – via Twitter.
  21. ^ Hilton, Scott (January 28, 2020). "Sen. @kloeffler is the future of the GOP in GA. Sen. Loeffler is a strong conservative who will help expand our majority in GA. Our family is excited to support her this November! #TeamKelly #TeamKemp #KeepChoppin pic.twitter.com/I4EO18niIW".
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  25. ^ a b Bluestein, Greg (August 28, 2019). "BREAKING: Georgia's Isakson to resign from Senate at end of 2019". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
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  29. ^ Everett, Burgess. "McConnell backs Georgia governor's pick for Senate amid Trump skepticism". POLITICO.
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  33. ^ Bluestein, Greg; Prabhu, Maya T. "Kemp's Senate pick sparks rift in lieutenant governor's office". ajc.
  34. ^ a b Bluestein, Greg. "Huckabee endorses Doug Collins in Georgia Senate race". ajc.
  35. ^ a b c https://kellyforsenate.com/kellys-endorsements/
  36. ^ "GEORGIA LIFE ALLIANCE COMMITTEE LAUNCHES $3 MILLION PRO-LIFE EDUCATION CAMPAIGN AROUND 2020 ELECTIONS; LARGEST IN STATE HISTORY | GLA".
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  39. ^ https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/ivanka-trump-atlanta-anti-trafficking-efforts/85-cfd402fb-ecd5-4205-9f38-ec642f2dbbc5,
  40. ^ Brufke, Juliegrace. "House Freedom Caucus chairman endorses Collins's Georgia Senate bid".
  41. ^ Bluestein, Greg; Journal-Constitution, The Atlanta. "Georgia congressman backs Collins' Senate bid, breaking ranks with Kemp". ajc.
  42. ^ Bluestein, Greg; Journal-Constitution, The Atlanta. "Karen Handel backs Doug Collins' bid for US Senate". ajc.
  43. ^ Bluestein, Greg. "The Jolt: A top Tomlinson supporter flips to Ossoff's camp".
  44. ^ Bluestein, Greg; Journal-Constitution, The Atlanta. "Georgia Senate: Gary Black endorses Doug Collins". ajc.
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  46. ^ Goldiner, Dave. "Rudy Giuliani backs Rep. Doug Collins in looming GOP Senate brawl in Georgia".
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  64. ^ Wooten, Nick (May 1, 2019). "Former Columbus Mayor Teresa Tomlinson formally announces 2020 U.S. Senate bid". Ledger-Enquirer. Columbus, Georgia. Retrieved May 1, 2019.
  65. ^ Greg Bluestein. "Tomlinson's fundraising total could give rival Ga. Democrats an opening". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2019.
  66. ^ Wise, Lindsay (August 28, 2019). "Republican Sen. Isakson of Georgia to Leave Office". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  67. ^ Hallerman, Tamar (November 28, 2019). "Yates passes on run for Georgia office". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved September 9, 2019.
  68. ^ a b Cortellessa, Eric. "Can a Lieberman win in Georgia?". timesofisrael.com.
  69. ^ a b c d e Keating, Christopher. "Joe Lieberman and his son, Matt, raise money in CT for U.S. Senate race in Georgia". courant.com.
  70. ^ a b c Arkin, James (January 30, 2020). "Stacey Abrams, Dems rally around pastor in burgeoning Georgia Senate race". Retrieved January 30, 2020.
  71. ^ a b c d Galloway, Jim; Bluestein, Greg; Mitchell, Tia (June 30, 2020). "The Jolt: CDC official says coronavirus has spread too widely and quickly to control in U.S." The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 1, 2020.
  72. ^ Warnock, Raphael (June 30, 2020). "I am proud and honored to have former Senator and Ambassador Wyche Fowler's endorsement. He was a fierce advocate for Georgians during his time in the Senate, and I hope to follow that example while fighting for health care and voting rights in Washington". Reverend Raphael Warnock. Retrieved August 12, 2020.
  73. ^ "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
  74. ^ a b Jim Galloway. "The Jolt: A trio of district attorney contests that are worth your attention". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
  75. ^ Bluestein, Greg (June 29, 2020). "Georgia Senate: Warnock wins Clyburn's endorsement". Retrieved July 1, 2020.
  76. ^ Galloway, Jim; Bluestein, Greg; Mitchell, Tia (March 31, 2020). "The Jolt: A plea for pandemic restrictions on funerals". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
  77. ^ Bluestein, Greg (March 23, 2020). "Georgia Senate: Andrew Young backs Raphael Warnock". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
  78. ^ "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com.
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  80. ^ "Atlanta pastor enters contentious Georgia Senate race, is endorsed by Stacey Abrams". January 30, 2020.
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  82. ^ a b c d Raphael Warnock. "I'm proud to have the support of Atlanta City Council President @FeliciaAMoore as well as former Council Presidents @Lisa_M_Borders, @CathyWoolard, @ChairRobbPitts, and Hon. Marvin S. Arrington". Twitter.
  83. ^ Galloway, Jim; Bluestein, Greg; Mitchell, Tia (June 11, 2020). "The Jolt: Secretary of state seeks power to intervene if county election offices fail". Retrieved June 11, 2020.
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Official campaign websites
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